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| Main / Discussions / Unlikely big plays after sacks Search Forum | |
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| Poster | Message |
| posted: 2017-01-09 23:03:28 (ID: 100095596) Report Abuse | |
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hollyhh2000 wrote:
was the best defense in this situation in the whole league last year. never ever evaluate on just one game. His QB was on fire on 3rd and long, maybe a great daily form. Sorry Looked like a complaint post and I forgot that you are an RZA god. |
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hollyhh2000
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posted: 2017-01-09 23:14:42 (ID: 100095598) Report Abuse |
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punch drunk wrote:
hollyhh2000 wrote:
was the best defense in this situation in the whole league last year. never ever evaluate on just one game. His QB was on fire on 3rd and long, maybe a great daily form. Sorry Looked like a complaint post and I forgot that you are an RZA god. no worries, I broke an important rule, never post frustrated too close to a game 
I have tried every possible defense in that situation. The results of the obvious ones over a lot of downs have been pretty close, so I guess I have to live with some conversions. But 3 in a row still are tough  |
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| posted: 2017-01-09 23:16:00 (ID: 100095599) Report Abuse | |
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hollyhh2000 wrote:
never post frustrated too close to a game
We should add this to our rules   |
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Gambler75
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posted: 2017-01-10 15:28:17 (ID: 100095627) Edits found: 1 Report Abuse |
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I felt like these were WAY too common until I crunched some numbers myself.
A lot of it comes down to confirmation bias. They are a bit too high, but not astronomically so. I wasn't noticing the short completions, the incompletions or interceptions, as they were "expected" against a 3rd and long. When they do convert at a higher rate, it tends to JUMP off the page at you. I'm sure there are plenty of NFL teams that have days giving up 50% completion rates against GOOD competition on 3rd & long ... they just end up balancing it back out by the Browns or Jaguars going 0 for 10 against them later in the season, to get to that league average.   Last edited on 2017-01-10 15:29:02 by Gambler75 |
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