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Main / Sea Devils / Sea Devils 1.1 Season 24 Search Forum
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Poster Message
Fincyril
posted: 2017-02-15 17:21:51 (ID: 100098036) Report Abuse
Do not forget that the PD that count is the limited one. That means your PD can not go down more than by 60 points in one game. Same for the other teams. In the eventuality you lose by 60 and all the opponents wins by 60, we would have:

Rosenheim 11-5 - 189
KHT 11-5 - 104
Chimera 10-6 - 301
Dublin 10-6 - 185
Dalton 10-6 - 131
SVM 10-6 - 64

Except Rosenheim and KHT are playing against each others. So they can not be both at 11-5. If KHT lose by 1, they will have 43 as PD. For the same loss for Rosenheim, they will be 128. So even with a loss of 60, you still compulsory stay above one of those 2 teams and secure seed 6 no matter what.

With the same logic, SVM is eliminated.

Congratulations, you made it to the PO!
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barryfrick
posted: 2017-02-15 17:49:18 (ID: 100098038) Report Abuse
Ah but KHT are playing Maryland and Rosenheim are playing Tyrolean

I would prefer to have it wrapped up!

My team has historically struggled against SVM as well...
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Fincyril
posted: 2017-02-15 17:56:53 (ID: 100098039) Report Abuse
Damn! Why was I 100% they were playing each other! Most of my analysis is trash now!

So sorry, you still do not have your ticket for the PO. You will still have to sweat a little to get it!
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WorpeX
posted: 2017-02-15 19:24:02 (ID: 100098041) Report Abuse
jagreen wrote:
Fincyril wrote:
ulero wrote:Add SVM into calculation too.


SVM is out. Their will be a winner between Dalton and Chimera and he will be above SVM no matter what. Then SVM can not catch up Rosenheim or Dublin PD. So at least 3 teams that will finish for sure in front of him for only 3 spots.

Dalton can not pass Dublin. And at least either Rosenheim or KHT will stay behind them. So Dublin got the ticket already.

Rosenheim is out if both Chimera and KHT win. Qualified in any other case.

Chimera will be qualified if they win, no matter the score or other results.

More difficult for Dalton. They qualify with a win and a win from Rosenheim. If KHT and Dalton win with big PD, Dalton may qualify as well.

KHT will qualify if they win. If not they are out.

For me:

Because of MOTY, I see Chimera win against Dalton.
Then I see Rosenheim (MOTY available and impossible win in SC PO) defeat KHT.

Chimera 70% chances
Rosenheim 60% chances
KHT 40% chances
Dalton 20% chances

In the NC, Pznan et Java who face each other will need to win very big and hope for a big loss from Gdansk against Devon. Very unlikely.

Gdansk 90%
Poznan 10%
Java 5%


Yep. I definitely think Chimera has the upper hand and I will be scouting like mad this time around. Using a playbook on Offense from earlier in the season... I have 4 that I like, but only use 3 most of the time. I've been using a pass heavy one the last four or so game weeks, may have to rotate back to a more balanced book from earlier.


Use the same one as before, I don't change my playbook. Its why i'm a shitty manager.
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jagreen
posted: 2017-02-15 22:51:56 (ID: 100098050)  Edits found: 1 Report Abuse
WorpeX wrote:
jagreen wrote:
Fincyril wrote:
ulero wrote:Add SVM into calculation too.


SVM is out. Their will be a winner between Dalton and Chimera and he will be above SVM no matter what. Then SVM can not catch up Rosenheim or Dublin PD. So at least 3 teams that will finish for sure in front of him for only 3 spots.

Dalton can not pass Dublin. And at least either Rosenheim or KHT will stay behind them. So Dublin got the ticket already.

Rosenheim is out if both Chimera and KHT win. Qualified in any other case.

Chimera will be qualified if they win, no matter the score or other results.

More difficult for Dalton. They qualify with a win and a win from Rosenheim. If KHT and Dalton win with big PD, Dalton may qualify as well.

KHT will qualify if they win. If not they are out.

For me:

Because of MOTY, I see Chimera win against Dalton.
Then I see Rosenheim (MOTY available and impossible win in SC PO) defeat KHT.

Chimera 70% chances
Rosenheim 60% chances
KHT 40% chances
Dalton 20% chances

In the NC, Pznan et Java who face each other will need to win very big and hope for a big loss from Gdansk against Devon. Very unlikely.

Gdansk 90%
Poznan 10%
Java 5%


Yep. I definitely think Chimera has the upper hand and I will be scouting like mad this time around. Using a playbook on Offense from earlier in the season... I have 4 that I like, but only use 3 most of the time. I've been using a pass heavy one the last four or so game weeks, may have to rotate back to a more balanced book from earlier.


Use the same one as before, I don't change my playbook. Its why i'm a shitty manager.


You are a great one. I've learned a lot from your team and playbook.

Last edited on 2017-02-15 22:52:26 by jagreen

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jamies
posted: 2017-02-16 12:21:46 (ID: 100098073) Report Abuse
So long, and thanks for all the fish.
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Browka
posted: 2017-02-16 12:42:22 (ID: 100098076) Report Abuse
Well. You still have to go through playoffs.
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barryfrick
posted: 2017-02-16 13:22:19 (ID: 100098082) Report Abuse
jamies wrote:
So long, and thanks for all the fish.


I was hoping you changed your mind during the season.

It'll be a shame to lose a such a strong team.

All the best!
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Browka
posted: 2017-02-18 12:38:10 (ID: 100098247) Report Abuse
Last day of the regular season !

Good luck to everybody !
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ulero
Konjarnik HighTowers

Serbia

Joined: 2014-11-06/S14
Posts: 299
Top Manager



 
posted: 2017-02-18 13:38:06 (ID: 100098253) Report Abuse
jamies wrote:
So long, and thanks for all the fish.

All the best!
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