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Main / American Football in real life / Top QB in the Draft? Search Forum
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Solana_Steve
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posted: 2017-09-25 05:52:59 (ID: 100114964) Report Abuse
Okay...we're a few games into the college season - - which QB or other player (Saquon Barkley?) is the top player?

1. Sam Darnold, USC
2. Josh Rosen, UCLA
3. Saquon Barkley, Penn St.
4. Lamar Jackson, Louisville
5. Josh Allen, Wyoming
6. Mason Rudolph, Oklahoma St.


Steve
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gnikeoj
posted: 2017-09-25 09:01:22 (ID: 100114965) Report Abuse
Saquon Barkley is the top player in college football right now, but the top selection in the draft will likely be one of the mentioned QBs. Unfortunately, almost all of them have shown themselves to be mistake prone. I believe that keeps the default selection, Sam Darnold, at the top of the list for the moment. So far, the deep QB class doesn't look all that impressive in the early going of the season.
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amalric7
posted: 2017-09-25 09:19:11 (ID: 100114967) Report Abuse
Agreed on Barkley, looks a class apart right now.

Darnold is probably still the top QB prospect, even giving the underwhelming start. Someone told Peter King (IIRC) in 2016 that Josh Allen would be the top pick in the 2018 draft, but he's had the same issues as the rest. We all know what Lamar Jackson is, outstanding player but a top QB? Josh Rosen looks like he's trying to do it all himself. Mason Rudolph looked like the early season leader until this past weekend.

Still a ways to go!
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Buddy Ryan
posted: 2017-09-25 21:25:14 (ID: 100115016) Report Abuse
what about that USC QB curse though? they all seem to bust in the NFL after looking great in college with loaded supporting casts
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Solana_Steve
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posted: 2017-09-25 22:46:14 (ID: 100115020) Report Abuse
Buddy Ryan wrote:
what about that USC QB curse though? they all seem to bust in the NFL after looking great in college with loaded supporting casts


You're calling Todd Marinovich a bust?

I think Sam Darnold will probably get more headlines because he's on a better team, but I think Josh Rosen might have a better arm & accuracy. Darnold is certainly more mobile. Both - - like all young QB's - - throw into coverage too much, but which will progress to a better decision maker.


Steve
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Buddy Ryan
posted: 2017-09-25 22:54:49 (ID: 100115021) Report Abuse
Solana_Steve wrote:
You're calling Todd Marinovich a bust?

I think Sam Darnold will probably get more headlines because he's on a better team, but I think Josh Rosen might have a better arm & accuracy. Darnold is certainly more mobile. Both - - like all young QB's - - throw into coverage too much, but which will progress to a better decision maker.




I do like them both, but I'm always rooting for the arrogant young rebel, so rosen for me he could be really interesting for the NFL, not just on the field

rosen definitly has more personality than trubisky for example, which leads me to a stupid bears question: if trubs repeated last years performance in college and entered this years draft, where would you rank him?
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Solana_Steve
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posted: 2017-09-26 06:48:12 (ID: 100115037) Report Abuse
Buddy Ryan wrote:
Solana_Steve wrote:
You're calling Todd Marinovich a bust?

I think Sam Darnold will probably get more headlines because he's on a better team, but I think Josh Rosen might have a better arm & accuracy. Darnold is certainly more mobile. Both - - like all young QB's - - throw into coverage too much, but which will progress to a better decision maker.




I do like them both, but I'm always rooting for the arrogant young rebel, so rosen for me he could be really interesting for the NFL, not just on the field

rosen definitly has more personality than trubisky for example, which leads me to a stupid bears question: if trubs repeated last years performance in college and entered this years draft, where would you rank him?


The thing is...with college stats, that just necessary to gain entry, but it doesn't really determine where you get picked. If you're a potential first rounder, then the teams all evaluate you individually (without much concern for college performance). Seems like combine/pro day performance, hand size, Wonderlic test results are more important than winning college football games.


Steve
SD Blitz
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Buddy Ryan
posted: 2017-09-27 00:00:30 (ID: 100115107) Report Abuse
Solana_Steve wrote:
The thing is...with college stats, that just necessary to gain entry, but it doesn't really determine where you get picked. If you're a potential first rounder, then the teams all evaluate you individually (without much concern for college performance). Seems like combine/pro day performance, hand size, Wonderlic test results are more important than winning college football games.


Steve
SD Blitz


ok, I see, but I bet youre just being nice because I was totally prepared for a "wouldnt make my list" grade thats just a really deep QB class this year
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gnikeoj
posted: 2017-09-27 03:02:43 (ID: 100115109) Report Abuse
Solana_Steve wrote:
Buddy Ryan wrote:
Solana_Steve wrote:
You're calling Todd Marinovich a bust?

I think Sam Darnold will probably get more headlines because he's on a better team, but I think Josh Rosen might have a better arm & accuracy. Darnold is certainly more mobile. Both - - like all young QB's - - throw into coverage too much, but which will progress to a better decision maker.




I do like them both, but I'm always rooting for the arrogant young rebel, so rosen for me he could be really interesting for the NFL, not just on the field

rosen definitly has more personality than trubisky for example, which leads me to a stupid bears question: if trubs repeated last years performance in college and entered this years draft, where would you rank him?


The thing is...with college stats, that just necessary to gain entry, but it doesn't really determine where you get picked. If you're a potential first rounder, then the teams all evaluate you individually (without much concern for college performance). Seems like combine/pro day performance, hand size, Wonderlic test results are more important than winning college football games.


Steve
SD Blitz


I think this kind of evaluation is to their own detriment. Winning IMO is most important for a QB because of the NFL pay structure. The player that can learn to win independent of the talent surrounding him typically has the best chance for success.
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Gambler75
posted: 2017-09-27 04:02:55 (ID: 100115110)  Edits found: 2 Report Abuse
gnikeoj wrote:
Solana_Steve wrote:
The thing is...with college stats, that just necessary to gain entry, but it doesn't really determine where you get picked. If you're a potential first rounder, then the teams all evaluate you individually (without much concern for college performance). Seems like combine/pro day performance, hand size, Wonderlic test results are more important than winning college football games.


Steve
SD Blitz


I think this kind of evaluation is to their own detriment. Winning IMO is most important for a QB because of the NFL pay structure. The player that can learn to win independent of the talent surrounding him typically has the best chance for success.


To finish in the top 2 Heisman voting, you generally have to be on a fairly dominant team, so this list should all be high win rate QBs.

The ones bolded are the only ones to actually ever put up a winning record in the NFL.

1990: Ty Detmer
1991: Casey Weldon*
1992: Gino Torretta
1993: Heath Shuler*
1995: Tommie Frazier*
1996: Danny Wuerffel
1997: Peyton Manning*
1998: Michael Bishop*
1999: Joe Hamilton*
2000: Chris Weinke
2001: Eric Crouch
2002: Carson Palmer
2003: Jason White
2004: Matt Leinart
2005: Vince Young
2006: Troy Smith
2007: Tim Tebow
2008: Sam Bradford
2010: Cam Newton
2011: Robert Griffin III
2012: Johnny Manziel
2013: Jameis Winston
2014: Marcus Mariota
2016: Deshaun Watson*

* - denotes first runner up, used only if a RB/WR won the Heisman.

The number of absolute busts on that list until very recently, I think is why most scouts care very little about college winning, more often than not - it doesn't translate to the NFL at all.

Last edited on 2017-09-27 04:19:47 by Gambler75

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