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Main / Monarchs / Season 57 Search Forum
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jack6
Leverkusen Leopards

Germany   jack6 owns a supporter account   jack6 is a Knight of RedZoneAction.org

Joined: 2011-09-05/S00
Posts: 7218
Top Manager



 
posted: 2024-09-30 07:19:25 (ID: 100186615) Report Abuse
jack6 wrote:
Next round, Divisional games:

2024-09-28 17:00 Divisional Playoff
Black Habaneros vs. Suchdol Minors
The game did happen twice already in this season and it was a sweep by the Minors. Here I expect a clear win by the home team.
Minors win.


A very close game, fueled by some turnovers, but at the end did the Minors win in OT by a touchdown, 33:27.
jack6 wrote:
Hemet Hooligans vs. Caplit e salama
Caplit e salama never won this matchup so far, this season it did happen and was won by 2 points by the Hooligans. The conditions are more or less the same now.
Hooligans should be the better team, but it will be again close. Upset potential is high here. Still ...
Hooligans win.


The Hooligans offense was ony 1/3 as good as the Caplit e salama offense and that did cost the Hooligans a lot of points. They lost 13:34.
jack6 wrote:
Leverkusen Leopards vs. Trnava Saints
The game was won by 5 this season by my team, but this can go any way.
If my QB decides to play again Ryan Leaf, Saints will win. If he decides to play Payton Manning, we will win. I will not bet against my team, so ...
Leopards win.


My team lost 27:31. Here turnovers did matter heavily, and my young QB found his Ryan Leaf in the 3rd quarter and has thrown 2 crucial INTs, which my team was unable to overcome. It was close, but still end of the season.
jack6 wrote:
Paxtang Black Panthers vs. Ruhrpott Miners
Another close game, and both can win here.
On last gameday the Miners won by 9, but any error can lead to an advantage to the Panthers or the Miners. Hometeam has 60%+ chance to win this.
Miners win.

Panthers had massive offense problems and scored only 9 points, while Miners were able to do as they pleased. Miners won 41:9.

That means for the Conference Championship games:

2024-10-01 17:00 Conference Championship
Caplit e salama @ Ruhrpott Miners
No previous matchup here, but Minors are clearly the favorite in this.
Miners do not look like they are fit for Elite (as no team does look like, except maybe the Minors), but far better build than Caplit e salama.
The upset calculation of the engine can't be ignored, but those kind of games can't be foreseen, so ...
Miners win.


Trnava Saints vs. Suchdol Minors
Minors are the only team, which I see Elite ready, or at least competive enough to challenge some teams inside the established Elite teams. The are favorite to win here against the Saints.
But to be fair, in Supercup there was a match between the teams, this season, and the Saints won.
I would say, 60:40 chance for the Minors, maybe even 70:30. But I can not split my pick, so ...
Minors win.


And a personal note: This forum is not for my personal entertainment and also not my personal writing space.
A region and a game like this does live by the interactions of the managers.
So no posts do not support the game and the region and will lead mid term to long term to movements or BOT status by some managers. So, please consider to be more active here.
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torakrid
Ruhrpott Miners

Germany   torakrid owns a supporter account

Joined: 2022-06-21/S47
Posts: 167
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posted: 2024-09-30 09:14:12 (ID: 100186618) Report Abuse
Because of (a) busy week(s) at work, I forgot to give my tip for the playoffs. Shame on me.

Since Jack6 has been playing this game for ages, I think he has the deepest insight. I can absolutely accept that my team is not yet ready for the elite class. Especially since there are changes in both lines in the team due to age. Another small upheaval.

Caplit e salama and Ruhrpott Miners both have tough opponents from the elite league in the Supercup today. PC and morale could have a (strong) influence on the outcome of the game between us.

I think my team is a slight favorite. But I also think the outcome of the Supercup games will have an impact. I'll let myself be surprised and am happy with what my team has achieved this season.

All the best to Caplit e salama and the other participants in the playoffs.
May the better teams win.
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torakrid
Ruhrpott Miners

Germany   torakrid owns a supporter account

Joined: 2022-06-21/S47
Posts: 167
Top Manager



 
posted: 2024-10-01 18:06:46 (ID: 100186646) Report Abuse
Congratz on the win, Emanuele.

You deserve the win. I wish you and your team lots of fun and success in the Elite League.
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jack6
Leverkusen Leopards

Germany   jack6 owns a supporter account   jack6 is a Knight of RedZoneAction.org

Joined: 2011-09-05/S00
Posts: 7218
Top Manager



 
posted: 2024-10-01 20:31:53 (ID: 100186654)  Edits found: 1 Report Abuse
jack6 wrote:
That means for the Conference Championship games:

2024-10-01 17:00 Conference Championship
Caplit e salama @ Ruhrpott Miners
No previous matchup here, but Minors are clearly the favorite in this.
Miners do not look like they are fit for Elite (as no team does look like, except maybe the Minors), but far better build than Caplit e salama.
The upset calculation of the engine can't be ignored, but those kind of games can't be foreseen, so ...
Miners win.


A set of turnovers in the 4th did somehow change the game and the momentum, so that Caplit e salama scored 20 unanswered points and won the Conference, a trip to the bowl and a ticket to Elite. Congratulation.
jack6 wrote:
Trnava Saints vs. Suchdol Minors
Minors are the only team, which I see Elite ready, or at least competive enough to challenge some teams inside the established Elite teams. The are favorite to win here against the Saints.
But to be fair, in Supercup there was a match between the teams, this season, and the Saints won.
I would say, 60:40 chance for the Minors, maybe even 70:30. But I can not split my pick, so ...
Minors win.


Here only one INT did change the game, which was quite open until then. That INT was return for a TD and Minors were unable to compensate that. Saints will go to Elite. Congratulation on the Conference Championship and good luck in the bowl.

That means the bowl is the only one left.

2024-10-08 17:00 Bowl
Trnava Saints vs. Caplit e salama
No matchups ever between the teams so far.
But the Sainst are stronger build and have a bit more expierence.
I expect a close game, but the Saints to win here.
Sainst win.

Both teams will have a hard time in Elite, but I think that's clear anyway.

Last edited on 2024-10-01 20:32:06 by jack6

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Cupfer
Black Habaneros

Germany   Cupfer owns a supporter account

Joined: 2023-09-23/S53
Posts: 25
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posted: 2024-10-02 07:51:03 (ID: 100186673)  Edits found: 1 Report Abuse
How different the two games were. In the game Trnava Saints vs Suchdol Minors, both teams were always on the same level. Really exciting right up to the end.
The game Caplit e salama vs Ruhrpott Miners was really crazy. Each team had completely wasted a quarter. Until the end of the 3rd quarter, the Ruhrpott Miners seemed to be the sure winner. In the last quarter, the Miners' QB threw 2!! interceptions, which cost the Ruhrpott Miners their victory. I wonder if the QB often does things like that. Or was it the playbook that forced him to do it?

In any case, 2 very exciting games, congratulations to Trnava Saints and Caplit e salama.

Last edited on 2024-10-02 07:52:40 by Cupfer

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Cupfer
Black Habaneros

Germany   Cupfer owns a supporter account

Joined: 2023-09-23/S53
Posts: 25
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posted: 2024-10-02 08:03:03 (ID: 100186674) Report Abuse
jack6 wrote:
2024-10-08 17:00 Bowl
Trnava Saints vs. Caplit e salama
No matchups ever between the teams so far.
But the Sainst are stronger build and have a bit more expierence.
I expect a close game, but the Saints to win here.
Sainst win.

Both teams will have a hard time in Elite, but I think that's clear anyway.


Caplit e salama has already won 2 games as an underdog. I don't have a deep insight into the game mechanics but I think Caplit e salama has a strong playbook. I'm very excited about the game.
My prediction: Caplit e salama will win
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