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Main / Fire / Season 48 Fire 1 PD rankings Search Forum
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Olband
Missouri Misery

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Joined: 2020-05-11/S38
Posts: 506
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posted: 2022-07-11 17:06:30 (ID: 100168087)  Edits found: 1 Report Abuse
So this is very rough, not a big numbers fest, but I thought it might be interesting to put together a 'power rankings' type of table for our league. This is based only on teams' point differential for games compared to the opponent's average PD. (I am not including any games against bots in any of the calculations.)
For some examples, if team A typically wins games by 50 points, but team B only loses by 3 against them, it's considered a "good" loss and raises team B's ranking. If team B usually wins by 10, but team A overcame and beat them by 3, it's still a "good" win and also raises their ranking. Conversely if team B usually gets beat by 60 points, and team A only won by 3, that would lower their ranking, even though they won the game.
Clear as mud?

Here's the rankings after 3 weeks. I expect them to become more accurate the farther we go into the season and get more data.
1 Fargo Knights 49
2 Lincoln Towncars 45
3 Maykop Dynamos 25
4 Knuckleheads 23 (this was an error, should have been at -23)
5 Niceville Norsemen 17
6 THE Vikings 14
7 Winner Winner 12
8 Pitcairn Bounty Mutineers 12
9 neroverde 9
10 Dolphins Pisa 3
11 Beanos Boilers 3
12 Mullem Throwers 3
13 Rostov Recnecks 2
14 GLADIATORI ROMA 2
15 Hainaut Gamecocks 0
16 Aberthaw Dolphins -4
17 Champ Chompers -7
18 Badsons -12
19 Stuttgart Stormtroopers -15
20 negbone -18
21 STEELERS -18
22 Fc Mixon -18
23 Bonaval Acorns -19
24 Bucharest Impalers -28
25 Schonspieler -75

Last edited on 2022-07-12 17:09:01 by Olband

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BoaTek
Niceville Norsemen

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Joined: 2021-10-31/S45
Posts: 410
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posted: 2022-07-11 17:36:50 (ID: 100168091) Report Abuse
I am sure I will drop as the season continues and the model becomes more accurate, but I am ranked waaaaay too high right now. Fun stuff though. Very interesting!
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Olband
Missouri Misery

Usa

Joined: 2020-05-11/S38
Posts: 506
Top Manager



 
posted: 2022-07-12 17:06:10 (ID: 100168112) Report Abuse
Here's the updated rankings after today's games:

1 Fargo Knights 43
2 Lincoln Towncars 42
3 Maykop Dynamos 27
4 Niceville Norsemen 16
5 Winner Winner 15
6 neroverde 10
7 GLADIATORI ROMA 9
8 Pitcairn Bounty Mutineers 8
9 Rostov Recnecks 7
10 Mullem Throwers 6
11 Dolphins Pisa 4
12 THE Vikings 4
13 Beanos Boilers 2
14 Stuttgart Stormtroopers 0
15 Hainaut Gamecocks -3
16 Aberthaw Dolphins -3
17 Badsons -13
18 Bonaval Acorns -13
19 Champ Chompers -15
20 STEELERS -18
21 negbone -19
22 Fc Mixon -21
23 Knuckleheads -22
24 Bucharest Impalers -29
25 Schonspieler -70
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Golrath
Champ Chompers

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Joined: 2022-02-05/S46
Posts: 70
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posted: 2022-07-12 17:08:50 (ID: 100168113) Report Abuse
Let's GOOOOO, Oh wait... we aren't playing golf.

Thanks for doing this, it will be interesting to see how low I go hahaha.
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Olband
Missouri Misery

Usa

Joined: 2020-05-11/S38
Posts: 506
Top Manager



 
posted: 2022-07-18 14:28:20 (ID: 100168173) Report Abuse
1 Lincoln Towncars 40
2 Fargo Knights 29
3 Maykop Dynamos 18
4 Niceville Norsemen 15
5 Winner Winner 10
6 Pitcairn Bounty Mutineers 10
7 neroverde 9
8 Hainaut Gamecocks 7
9 Stuttgart Stormtroopers 7
10 GLADIATORI ROMA 7
11 Dolphins Pisa 5
12 Rostov Recnecks 5
13 THE Vikings 5
14 Aberthaw Dolphins 2
15 Mullem Throwers 0
16 negbone -6
17 Beanos Boilers -6
18 Bonaval Acorns -7
19 Badsons -10
20 Champ Chompers -11
21 STEELERS -18
22 Fc Mixon -24
23 Knuckleheads -25
24 Bucharest Impalers -28
25 Schonspieler -74
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Olband
Missouri Misery

Usa

Joined: 2020-05-11/S38
Posts: 506
Top Manager



 
posted: 2022-07-19 19:38:30 (ID: 100168182) Report Abuse
1 Lincoln Towncars 40
2 Fargo Knights 30
3 Maykop Dynamos 22
4 neroverde 14
5 Niceville Norsemen 14
6 Pitcairn Bounty Mutineers 10
7 Dolphins Pisa 9
8 GLADIATORI ROMA 9
9 Winner Winner 9
10 Hainaut Gamecocks 8
11 Stuttgart Stormtroopers 5
12 THE Vikings 5
13 Beanos Boilers 0
14 Aberthaw Dolphins -2
15 Badsons -5
16 Rostov Recnecks -5
17 Mullem Throwers -5
18 negbone -6
19 Bonaval Acorns -7
20 Champ Chompers -10
21 Bucharest Impalers -19
22 STEELERS -19
23 Fc Mixon -27
24 Knuckleheads -30
25 Schonspieler -80
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Olband
Missouri Misery

Usa

Joined: 2020-05-11/S38
Posts: 506
Top Manager



 
posted: 2022-07-23 22:36:51 (ID: 100168212) Report Abuse
1 Lincoln Towncars 44
2 Fargo Knights 33
3 Maykop Dynamos 31
4 Winner Winner 15
5 neroverde 9
6 Pitcairn Bounty Mutineers 9
7 Dolphins Pisa 7
8 Hainaut Gamecocks 6
9 Niceville Norsemen 5
10 GLADIATORI ROMA 4
11 THE Vikings 3
12 Mullem Throwers 3
13 Stuttgart Stormtroopers -1
14 Aberthaw Dolphins -1
15 Beanos Boilers -2
16 Champ Chompers -5
17 Rostov Recnecks -6
18 negbone -7
19 STEELERS -12
20 Knuckleheads -12
21 Badsons -14
22 Bonaval Acorns -17
23 Bucharest Impalers -21
24 Fc Mixon -28
25 Schonspieler -87
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Olband
Missouri Misery

Usa

Joined: 2020-05-11/S38
Posts: 506
Top Manager



 
posted: 2022-07-26 18:46:00 (ID: 100168250) Report Abuse
1 Lincoln Towncars 47
2 Maykop Dynamos 34
3 Fargo Knights 31
4 Knuckleheads 19
5 Pitcairn Bounty Mutineers 14
6 Winner Winner 13
7 neroverde 8
8 Hainaut Gamecocks 7
9 GLADIATORI ROMA 7
10 Dolphins Pisa 6
11 Niceville Norsemen 6
12 THE Vikings 4
13 Mullem Throwers 2
14 Stuttgart Stormtroopers 1
15 Rostov Recnecks 1
16 Aberthaw Dolphins 0
17 Beanos Boilers -1
18 negbone -4
19 Champ Chompers -6
20 STEELERS -13
21 Bonaval Acorns -14
22 Badsons -17
23 Bucharest Impalers -24
24 Fc Mixon -30
25 Schonspieler -90
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Olband
Missouri Misery

Usa

Joined: 2020-05-11/S38
Posts: 506
Top Manager



 
posted: 2022-08-01 15:03:14 (ID: 100168341) Report Abuse
1 Lincoln Towncars 47
2 Maykop Dynamos 39
3 Fargo Knights 30
4 Pitcairn Bounty Mutineers 15
5 Winner Winner 13
6 Hainaut Gamecocks 9
7 GLADIATORI ROMA 8
8 neroverde 7
9 Niceville Norsemen 6
10 Dolphins Pisa 4
11 THE Vikings 4
12 Mullem Throwers 2
13 Stuttgart Stormtroopers 1
14 Rostov Recnecks 0
15 Aberthaw Dolphins -1
16 negbone -2
17 Beanos Boilers -2
18 Champ Chompers -5
19 Bonaval Acorns -13
20 STEELERS -14
21 Badsons -16
22 Knuckleheads -19
23 Bucharest Impalers -24
24 Fc Mixon -30
25 Schonspieler -91
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Olband
Missouri Misery

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Joined: 2020-05-11/S38
Posts: 506
Top Manager



 
posted: 2022-08-01 15:08:41 (ID: 100168342) Report Abuse
Halfway thru the season, we have a couple interesting races. The AC North and NC North are both 3-team battle divisions. With the NC West looking like mudwrestling.
The AC has 4 teams in contention for the wildcard spots, and the NC has 5 or 6 in the mix for those WCs.
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