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| Main / Sea Devils / Bet the Sea Devils NC West Search Forum | |
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| posted: 2025-06-26 01:22:27 (ID: 100192111) Report Abuse | |
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Bet the West Season 61
Week #1 Vancouver Corsairs(74.2/910) @ Minnesota Silver Foxes(65.7/635) +6.5 The big question on everyones mind is how much damage did Minnesota suffer over the off season with with worries of financial difficulties. This was a developing rivalry with The Silver Foxes more than holding their own. Having split wins with Vancouver for the past 2 seasons. But any step backward by Minnesota will be exploited by the #1 rated Corsair passing attack of Chisolm and Cary. Give the 6.5 and take Vancouver. Social Distance Runners (80.2/1182) @ Minnesota Minotaurs (66.1/524) +15.5 Yikes! For the bull men!. Having to play the South will be the bane of all West teams this year. An ELO difference of 658 is not an indicator of a close game. The Runners return to Sea Devils having been in Elite or won the Conference championship 7 of the last 8 years. We want to bet the up and coming Minotaurs here but think the risk of a blowout is too great. I would hate to be this halftime act in Minnesota this weekend. If you have to bet this game, you have a problem. Heck, the line went up by 1 as I wrote this. Stay away and pray for the Minotaurs. Manta Rays (72.4/744)@ Michigan Weasels (80.3/915) -4.5 Didn't we just play this game? On June 7 these 2 met in the Divisional Playoff. A narrow 38-33 Weasel win ended the Manta Rays season and they are back for season opening revenge, Season opening statement game for both of these teams as they face brutal fights in division. It's old folks day at La Casa Grande with 18 starters over 30 taking the field Saturday. The Seniors will have to answer theses questions: Can now 33 yo Manta Ray QB Edgar Balandis lead the Rays to a statement opening victory? Or will 32yo Weasel MLB Cristobal “Baller” Lozano have the last laugh? Laugh all the way to the cashier. Give the 4.5 and take the Weasels. Always betting with you, Timmy the Greek |
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| posted: 2025-07-02 16:05:31 (ID: 100192331) Report Abuse | |
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Week #3
It doesn't get bigger than this. Monster matchups as the West turns on itself with 2 divisional matchups. The NC West picture should start to come into focus after this week. Michigan Weasels 80.2/920 @ Vancouver Corsairs 72.9/914 +2 Both squads come in to this game at 2-0 atop the West. These 2 haven't split a season since S56, so the first matchup is always vital to the NC West outcome. The vaunted Vancouver offence has put up a modest 27 points in both wins against the out-matched Silver Foxes and the Italian Bears, while the Weasels managed 21 against the tough Manta Rays and 44 against the Minotaurs. We have said it over and over here on Bet the West, but Cary and Chisolm will have to take care of the ball and put up more points than 27 to succeed this season. For this reason I think the Vancouver home opener will be a disappointment for the Canadians. Take the Weasels and give the 2. Minnesota Silver Foxes 64.7/643 @ Minnesota Minotaurs 67.3/528 +3.5 The battle for Minnesota was won by the Silver(s) Foxes last season, winning by 9 and then 18. This is only the 2nd season of existence for the Minotaurs and a win here could be their coming out party in the NC West. They need to shake off their nightmare start to the season with losses to the Social Distance Runners and The Michigan Weasels and get after those Foxes. Meanwhile, the Foxes lost to Vancouver and beat the Kladno Ravens convincingly to start 1-1. This game is going to be close but I think the Silver Foxes will continue owning the Minotaurs. Give the 3.5 and take the Minnesota Chad Thurmans for the win. Always betting with you, Timmy the Greek |
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| posted: 2025-07-06 02:44:32 (ID: 100192369) Report Abuse | |
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I have a tiny feeling that the game between the Weasels and Silver Foxes is going to be more interesting and maybe a battle than people (and Timmy) thinks (not biased btw).
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| posted: 2025-07-07 16:04:10 (ID: 100192385) Edits found: 1 Report Abuse | |
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Bet the NC West Week #4
You have to love back to back weeks battling in the division so let's get down to it. (0-3)Minnesota Minotaurs 66.7/524 @ (2-1)Vancouver Corsairs 71.7/901 -9.5 Both teams coming off of a home division loss here. The Minotaurs were almost doubled up on by the Silver Foxes 52-27 while Vancouver was doubled up on by the Weasels 49-24. Both teams will have to do better to get the win here. Last season saw two Corsair wins. The first game was a real squeeker 24-23 and the second was a more realistic 36-20. I am not seeing a close game here and neither is the betting public. This line has jumped from an opening 7.5 all the way to 9.5 and we aren't anywhere near game time. Right now, give the 9.5 and take the Canadians for the win. If the line gets past 12, bail on this bet as Vancouver has always had trouble putting up big points. (3-0) Michigan Weasels 78.9/932 @ (2-1) Minnesota Silver Foxes 64.6/645 +8 Fears of a Minnesota collapse due to the offseason financial difficulties, seem to be far in the past. The Silver Foxes are playing well and find themselves in unfamiliar territory in second place in the West. Offensively QB Haseri Jampaka leads the league with 1023 passing yards and FB Santeri Viinamaki is averaging 115 yards and 6 broken tackles per game. The defense has backed the offense up with top 5 Rushing and Passing Defense rankings. But, none of that matters. The Weasels are rolling, putting up 38 points per game this season and are undefeated in the past two seasons against the Silver(s) Foxes and I see no reason that streak should end. Take the Weasels and give the 8. Always betting with you, Timmy the Greek Last edited on 2025-07-07 16:04:41 by Stabler12 |
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| posted: 2025-07-07 16:16:40 (ID: 100192386) Edits found: 1 Report Abuse | |
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Stabler12 wrote:
Bet the NC West Week #4 You have to love back to back weeks battling in the division so let's get down to it. (0-3)Minnesota Minotaurs 66.7/524 @ (2-1)Vancouver Corsairs 71.7/901 -9.5 Both teams coming off of a home division loss here. The Minotaurs were almost doubled up on by the Silver Foxes 52-27 while Vancouver was doubled up on by the Weasels 49-24. Both teams will have to do better to get the win here. Last season saw two Corsair wins. The first game was a real squeeker 24-23 and the second was a more realistic 36-20. I am not seeing a close game here and neither is the betting public. This line has jumped from an opening 7.5 all the way to 9.5 and we aren't anywhere near game time. Right now, give the 9.5 and take the Canadians for the win. If the line gets past 12, bail on this bet as Vancouver has always had trouble putting up big points. (3-0) Michigan Weasels 78.9/932 @ (2-1) Minnesota Silver Foxes 64.6/645 +8 Fears of a Minnesota collapse due to the offseason financial difficulties, seem to be far in the past. The Silver Foxes are playing well and find themselves in unfamiliar territory in second place in the West. Offensively QB Haseri Jampaka leads the league with 1023 passing yards and FB Santeri Viinamaki is averaging 115 yards and 6 broken tackles per game. The defense has backed the offense up with top 5 Rushing and Passing Defense rankings. But, none of that matters. The Weasels are rolling, putting up 38 points per game this season and are undefeated in the past two seasons against the Silver(s) Foxes and I see no reason that streak should end. Take the Weasels and give the 8. Always betting with you, Timmy the Greek Alright, played with AI for a bit, this is what they summarized and said (without saying the Silver Foxes are my favorite team bc then that would make it all unfair): 🔹 Summary of “Bet the NC West Week #4” by Timmy the Greek Game 1: Minnesota Minotaurs (0-3) @ Vancouver Corsairs (2-1) Spread: Corsairs favored by 9.5 Recent Performance: Minotaurs lost badly to the Silver Foxes (52-27). Corsairs also got blown out by the Weasels (49-24). History: Corsairs won both matchups last season — one close, one not. Timmy’s Pick: Bet on Vancouver to cover the -9.5 spread unless it goes past -12, then back off. Key Argument: Vancouver’s past struggles with big wins make a very large spread risky. Game 2: Michigan Weasels (3-0) @ Minnesota Silver Foxes (2-1) Spread: Weasels favored by 8 Silver Foxes Overview: Overcame financial troubles. Great offense: QB Jampaka (league-leading 1023 passing yards), FB Viinamaki (115 rushing yards, 6 broken tackles per game). Strong defense (Top 5 in rushing & passing). But… the Weasels are dominant: 38 points per game. Undefeated vs. Silver Foxes the past two seasons. Timmy’s Pick: Weasels to cover the -8 spread. 🔸 My Strongest Opinions 1. Blind Faith in Historical Dominance Is Risky Timmy leans heavily on past results — especially with the Weasels-Silver Foxes matchup — but that’s a weak foundation for predictive analysis in a sport with a lot of volatility. The Silver Foxes have clearly improved and have the league’s top QB and FB combo right now. Writing them off just because of historical trends ignores current form. Opinion: I strongly disagree with blindly backing the Weasels without deeper matchup analysis. This might be the exact moment Silver Foxes flip the script. 2. Vancouver Is Overrated in the Line Vancouver got destroyed last week by the same Weasels that Minnesota is now being counted out against. This spread growing to 9.5 despite that blowout loss suggests public overreaction or bad line movement. If Vancouver struggles to score, and Minnesota is desperate for a win, this could be a trap game. Opinion: I’d lean toward Minnesota +9.5, especially if the line inflates further. That’s solid value. 3. The Weasels Can’t Stay This Hot Forever Yes, 38 points a game is impressive — but that’s a stat screaming regression. No team keeps that pace all season. The Silver Foxes are strong enough defensively to be the one that slows them down. 🔹 Alternative Possibilities Scenario A: Silver Foxes Pull the Upset If Haseri Jampaka continues lighting up defenses and Viinamaki controls the clock, the Weasels might finally be outpaced. Their defense could fa l t e r against a balanced attack. A Silver Foxes +8 line is great value, and an outright upset is very possible. Scenario B: Minotaurs Bounce Back Winless, embarrassed, and playing a team that also got blown out? That’s classic rebound territory. If they tighten up defensively and Vancouver can’t hit explosive plays early, the game could be closer than expected. Even a Minotaurs upset isn’t out of the question. Scenario C: Weasels Show Cracks If they come out slow or overconfident, and the Silver Foxes play aggressive defense, we could see a second-half battle. This could be the game that exposes some flaws — especially if Jampaka controls possession and keeps the Weasels off the field. 🔻 Final Takeaways Timmy plays it safe with favorites and past trends — but that's exactly when smart contrarians can find edges. Both underdogs this week (Minotaurs and Silver Foxes) are situationally dangerous and better than the spreads suggest. If you're betting, this is a week to fade the hype and possibly go 2-0 on the underdogs. (again, this is AI generated and I only put to summarize this and put an opinion on it, I did not state roster changes or other things, so, don't get mad at me, Stabler, get mad art the AI  )
Last edited on 2025-07-07 16:18:56 by 0verpowerd |
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| posted: 2025-07-09 07:00:33 (ID: 100192413) Report Abuse | |
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Bet the NC West Week #5
Two teams off this week with Vancouver and Minnesota Minotaurs on bye. (1-3)Italian Bears 56.9/564 @ (4-0)Michigan Weasels 79.2/936 -12 The tour of the AC South begins for the Weasels with a visit from the friendly Italian Bears. 2 weeks ago the Bears lost 27-10 to the team from Canada. They are going to need far more than 10 points against the Weasels who are averaging 43 points per game this season. Last seasons matchup was also a decisive Weasel victory 61-10. In what is becoming a familiar refrain, take the Weasels and give the points. (4-0)St. Pauli Packers74.2/865 @ (2-2)Minnesota Silver Foxes 65.1/650 +10 After getting their pelts shaved 58-10 last week by the Weasels, the last thing the Silver Foxes need is to play an undefeated Packers squad that are scoring the most (184total 46ppg)in the NC and allowing the fewest (48 total 12ppg) in the NC. The Pack are fresh off a big win against the HAMBURG SEA LIONS and that momentum will continue through this game. The only thing in the Foxes favor is that last seasons matchup was a relatively close 27-17 Packers win at home. Frankly, I believe that is the only reason this line isn't higher. Minnesota is 0-2 at home so far and another big disappointment awaits Fox fans here as well, so, unless you have a shrine to Chad Thurman in your bedroom, Take the Pack on the road and give the points. Always betting with you, Timmy the Greek |
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