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hollyhh2000
posted: 2015-09-01 16:24:37 (ID: 100059310) Report Abuse


there is no such thing like a good loss.

losing by 3 against 7-0 Fargo after losing by 2 against now 8-0 Kumberg

And in both games I was nearing FG Range with a FG would have put me in the lead with less than 3 minutes to go

*I hate this game *
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Bloodbeak
posted: 2015-09-01 16:42:53 (ID: 100059312) Report Abuse
Beckos seems to like your team though. Whenever I check you have gone up by double digits. So the string of wins can't be far away...

I have the Cowboys next. My defense allowed the Destroyers QB to complete 70% of passes today. Against Mikey Rowe? Well let's just say that my CBs are in for a long day.

Last edited on 2015-09-01 16:44:30 by Bloodbeak

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Meitheisman
posted: 2015-09-02 11:50:29 (ID: 100059351) Report Abuse
Meitheisman wrote:
Since Becko unfortunately doesn't let us look at old predictions (yet) I'll post what the PO picture according to Becko looks like after 3 games here... I'll try to remember to u p d a t e it (maybe not each week though)

AC
#1 Cowboys 14.7 W
#2 Spiders 14.4 W
#3 Destroyers 11.6 W
#4 Warriors 8.6 W
#5 Maykop 14.2 W
#6 ROMA 9.4 W
Close but out of the race: Asps 9.1W; Jacanas 8.7W, Eindhoven and Mechanics 8.6W.

NC
#1 Novosibirsk 15.4 W
#2 Eagles 15.2 W
#3 Mutineers 13.2 W
#4 Lisbon 11.6 W
#5 Knights 13.9 W
#6 Farmers 11.9 W
Close but out of the race: None, closest is Neroverde at 8.2W.

Unfortunately Lisbon might go bot soon but this should shake things up a bit and at least give another team a chance to make the PO.


And here's an u p d a t e after 7 (or 8 for some teams) games. The + or - number is the change in number of predicted win since last time.

AC
#1 Cowboys 15.3 W +0.6
#2 Spiders 14.1 W -0.3
#3 Destroyers 9.5 W -2.1
#4 Hydro 8.6 W New Entry
#5 Maykop 14.2 W =
#6 Mechanics 9.8 W +1.2
Close but out of the race: Jacanas 9.5W +0.8, Eindhoven 9.2W +0.6 ROMA 9.1W -0.3

NC

#1 Eagles 15.8 W +0.6
#2 Novosibirsk 15.6 W +0.2
#3 Mutineers 13.2 W =
#4 Wadenbeisser 8.9 W New Entry
#5 Knights 13.8 W -0.1
#6 Farmers 12.2 W +0.3
Close but out of the race: None, closest is Neroverde at 9.2W +1.
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Meitheisman
posted: 2015-09-09 10:02:18 (ID: 100059655) Report Abuse
And another u p d a t e now that every team's played 9 games.

AC
#1 Cowboys 15.7 W +0.4
#2 Spiders 14.7 W +0.6
#3 Eindhoven 10.1 W +0.9
#4 Jacanas 8.7 W -0.8
#5 Maykop 13.5 W -0.7
#6 Destroyers 9.5 W =
Close but out of the race: ROMA 9.1W =, Mechanics 9.1W -0.7, Griffin 8.5W (New Entry), Hydro 8.2W -0.4

NC
#1 Eagles 15.8 W =
#2 Novosibirsk 15.6 W =
#3 Mutineers 13.6 W +0.4
#4 Wadenbeisser 8.3 W -0.6
#5 Knights 13.7 W -0.1
#6 Farmers 11.3 W -0.9
Close but out of the race: None, closest is Neroverde at 9.4W +0.2.
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Meitheisman
posted: 2015-09-16 20:36:46 (ID: 100059990) Report Abuse
And another u p d a t e now that every team's played 11 games.

Lots of changes in the AC, teams #1, 2 and 5 changed spots and are within 0.1 W of each other. It'll be interesting to see how the Maykop vs Cowboys game goes this week.

AC
#1 Spiders 14.4 W -0.3
#2 Maykop 14.3 W +0.8
#3 Eindhoven 10.2 W +0.1
#4 Griffins 9.4 W +0.9
#5 Cowboys 14.2 W -1.5
#6 Jacanas 9.7 W +1.0
Close but out of the race: Mechanics 9.4W +0.3, Destroyers 9.3 W -0.2

NC
#1 Novosibirsk 15.6 W =
#2 Eagles 15.2 W -0.6
#3 Mutineers 13.0 W -0.6
#4 Wadenbeisser 9.0 W +0.4
#5 Knights 14.4 W +0.7
#6 Farmers 10.4 W -0.9
Close but out of the race: Neroverde at 9.4W =
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alexshans84
posted: 2015-09-30 09:54:45 (ID: 100060587) Report Abuse
So what do we have with 1 week to go:
Playoffs
NC
Divisional round
#1 Eagles 15-0, 707 PD
#2 Lions 15-0, 636 PD
Wildcard round
#3 Mutineers 11-4, 400 PD
#4 Wadenbeisser 8-7, 319 PD
#5 Knights 14-1, 595 PD
#6 Farmers 11-4, 466 PD

frenchkiss 7-8, 37 PD (have a chance to clinch playoffs only on paper with its PD deficit)

So it's Mutineers vs Farmers, and Wadenbeisser vs Knights in wildcard games

AC
Divisional round
#1 Cowboys 14-1, 608 PD
#2 Spiders 12-3, 342 PD

Wildcard round
#3 Patriots 10-5, 309 PD or
Jacanas 10-5, 112 PD
#4 Hydro 9-6, 166 PD
#5 Maykop 13-2, 348 PD
#6 Patriots 10-5, 309 PD or
Gladiatori 10-5, 282 PD

Mechanics 9-6, 118 PD (have a chance to clinch playoffs only if win its game vs Gladiatori with 82+ PD)

So we have Hydro vs Maykop in wildcard game and 2 deciders on last week:
Patriots at Jacanas Huge game for both teams, the winner takes the division and #3 seed. If Patriots lose they still have a chance for #6 seed, if Jacanas lose - their season is ended.
Mechanics at Gladiatori If Gladiatori win they take #6 seed, if lose - the PD will decide who get the last spot in playoffs.
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Bloodbeak
posted: 2015-09-30 11:05:28 (ID: 100060589) Report Abuse
I prefer to view it as an early beginning to our next season

It's highly unlikely that we will beat Eindhoven. They murdered us last time and have looked the most consistent in a division where none of us are going to finish under .500.

So we will show up intending to steal another win, but really I'm not even thinking about playoffs. I feel it's too early for my boys, plus we'd get murdered in the Wildcard round anyway.

Still, 10 wins with a 21yo QB under centre is quite an unexpected improvement on season 17, and I'm happy with just defying the Becko's 6-win prediction for now (though luck really helped out in a few of our wins) and focusing on the seasons ahead.
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hollyhh2000
posted: 2015-09-30 13:44:52 (ID: 100060594) Report Abuse
alexshans84 wrote:
So what do we have with 1 week to go:
Playoffs

Thanks for the playoff picture.
Thanks to the PD I did secure a playoff spot in my first season @Fire1.1

I don't give a sh.. that the NC East is one of the weakest divisions and will gladly take the money from the wildcard game

I am more than happy with the result of the seaon and promise that I will try to improve my team in the offseaon to be able to generate more of a threat to the other playoff teams


My take on the playoffs:
NC
Would be more than surprised if we have any other CCG than Eagles - vs Lions, which really could go either way. If I needed to, I would place my money on an upset by the Lions

AC
It will be decided by the 3rd meeting between Cowboys and Maykop, which could already take place in the divisional round depending on the outcome of the 2nd wildcard game. in the 14 other games, Maykop looked imo better, but its tough to discount the 2 wins by the Cowboys. So tough call but Homefield advantage will give the Cowboys the AC.

Last edited on 2015-09-30 13:45:36 by hollyhh2000

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Meitheisman
posted: 2015-10-01 00:15:54 (ID: 100060632) Report Abuse
hollyhh2000 wrote:
alexshans84 wrote:
So what do we have with 1 week to go:
Playoffs

Thanks for the playoff picture.
Thanks to the PD I did secure a playoff spot in my first season @Fire1.1

I don't give a sh.. that the NC East is one of the weakest divisions and will gladly take the money from the wildcard game

I am more than happy with the result of the seaon and promise that I will try to improve my team in the offseaon to be able to generate more of a threat to the other playoff teams


My take on the playoffs:
NC
Would be more than surprised if we have any other CCG than Eagles - vs Lions, which really could go either way. If I needed to, I would place my money on an upset by the Lions

AC
It will be decided by the 3rd meeting between Cowboys and Maykop, which could already take place in the divisional round depending on the outcome of the 2nd wildcard game. in the 14 other games, Maykop looked imo better, but its tough to discount the 2 wins by the Cowboys. So tough call but Homefield advantage will give the Cowboys the AC.



Sadly I agree, I've lost the game that would get us in the Elite league 3 times already so I wouldn't be surprised if I lost it a 4th time in a few weeks. The Lions do look even better than last year and I barely won our Divisional PO game.

Also, I might have to beat Fargo again to get there which is certainly not an easy thing either.
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hollyhh2000
posted: 2015-10-02 08:35:15 (ID: 100060709) Report Abuse
Yesterday was not a good day for Fire in the Supercup. If I count correctly, just Lyon and Fargo and our 3 Elite teams from Fire are left in the competition.

Do Fire some pride, mates
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