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| Main / Dragons / Season 48 Weekly Search Forum | |
| Navigation: |< < 1 2 3 16 17 18 > >| | |
| Poster | Message |
| posted: 2022-08-21 20:52:10 (ID: 100168601) Report Abuse | |
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Power Ranking - Dragons 1 - Season 48 - Week 15
- Alert Polar Bears (#1) keep the Top despite their loss to SkiD MarKs (#14). - American Eagles (#6) fall out of the Top 3 after their loss to Nottingham Outlaws (#15). - Biggest rise: 4 positions for SkiD MarKs (from #18 to #14). - Biggest drop: 4 positions for Viper (from #15 to #19) and Budapest Janitors (from #16 to #20). - It's obvious that we are aproaching to the end of the season and we're giving our best in every game: 4 MOTYs this week 
Good luck and enjoy. |
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| posted: 2022-08-22 00:30:43 (ID: 100168609) Report Abuse | |
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That last information was very important. I had missed that Baltic Stars went MOTY against Seahawks on this weekend (Week 15). My numbers will drastically change as I was expecting the Stars MOTYing on Week 17.
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| posted: 2022-08-22 15:20:35 (ID: 100168620) Edits found: 1 Report Abuse | |
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I have updated the probabilities for AC wildcard run after the Week 15 results. As Baltic Stars went MOTY this week and my previous prediction for Rio vs. Baltic (Week 17) considered the high probability of a MOTY we have a huge change on those numbers. The new inputs are:
Baltic Stars: Wk 16 = 100% / Wk 17 = 30% Rio Atoms: Wk 16 = 70% / Wk 17 = 70% Pizti Beltzak: Wk 16 = 40% / Wk 17 = 100% I have not considered PD on the calculations and assumed it will not be different from what we have right now (Baltic PD > Rio PD > Pizti PD). With these numbers the new probabilities are: Rio Atoms: Seed #5 = 61.6% / Seed #6 = 21.0% / P.O. = 82.6% Pizti Beltzak: Seed #5 = 20.4% / Seed #6 = 67.0% / P.O. = 87.4% Baltic Stars: Seed #5 = 18.0% / Seed #6 = 12.0% / P.O. = 30.0% Without the boost for the last match it will be more difficult for the Stars to overcome the Atoms imho. Rio & Pizti are in excellent position now to lock the playoff berth. All the possible outcomes: #5 Rio Atoms / #6 Pizti Beltzak : 61.6% #5 Baltic Stars / #6 Rio Atoms : 12.6% #5 Pizti Beltzak / #6 Baltic Stars : 12.0% #5 Pizti Beltzak / #6 Rio Atoms : 8.4% #5 Baltic Stars / #6 Pizti Beltzak : 5.4% #5 Rio Atoms / #6 Baltic Stars : 0.0% Last edited on 2022-08-22 15:30:49 by linkleo911 |
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| posted: 2022-08-22 19:55:09 (ID: 100168627) Report Abuse | |
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25 Dragons in the SC Playoffs.
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| posted: 2022-08-22 21:11:58 (ID: 100168631) Report Abuse | |
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BPJ as #1 overall. And 7 Dragons teams undefeated. Good start.
sfniner08 wrote:
25 Dragons in the SC Playoffs. |
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Feras17
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posted: 2022-08-23 05:31:24 (ID: 100168635) Report Abuse |
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I was proud that i didn't lose any game in Supercup, even with werewolves in my legaue.. but first round against pikes really sucks:/
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| posted: 2022-08-23 07:20:25 (ID: 100168636) Report Abuse | |
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Feras17 wrote:
I was proud that i didn't lose any game in Supercup, even with werewolves in my legaue.. but first round against pikes really sucks:/ SuperCup is a lottery. Both in the regular season and in the PlayOffs. I was in the same situation as you (0 losses) but I got a more accessible team (sure I'll be upset just for saying this  ).
Good luck. |
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| posted: 2022-08-23 21:03:02 (ID: 100168659) Report Abuse | |
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Really? I have had MOTY used against me 3 of the last 5 games. Seriously? 2 of them didn't even make sense to use. I guess just to be spoiler? Kind of sucks if that is the reason.
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| posted: 2022-08-23 21:12:14 (ID: 100168660) Edits found: 2 Report Abuse | |
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sfniner08 wrote:
Really? I have had MOTY used against me 3 of the last 5 games. Seriously? 2 of them didn't even make sense to use. I guess just to be spoiler? Kind of sucks if that is the reason. You probably have someone requesting your opponents to do that... Although as for OTR that would have been a good strategy for them had Guardians lost massively this week. Last edited on 2022-08-23 21:18:18 by punch drunk |
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| posted: 2022-08-23 21:14:25 (ID: 100168661) Report Abuse | |
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sfniner08 wrote:
Week 15: Rio @ Turigtians Predict win by 21 points Pizti @ Paladins Predict loss by 3 (Paladins have to eventually get some bounces) Baltic Vs Bot win by 70 If things are not ok with that much of MOTY against you at least you can praise yourself for being so good on predictions in RZA. 
Quotes of the week: Pizti finished 4 yards away from OT; Outlaws did not tried the winning FG with less than 30 seconds on the clock. |
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| Main / Dragons / Season 48 Weekly | |
